The United States has launched strikes on Iran—an unprecedented expansion into the Israel-Iran conflict. President Trump authorized missile hits on Iran’s nuclear facilities at Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordow. These sites included a deeply buried enrichment plant.
This military move continues a pattern: it began with the Gaza war after Hamas’ October 7, 2023 attack. Then it expanded to Israeli action in Lebanon and Syria. Iran now faces its weakest moment in years. Israel reportedly urged Trump to act quickly, prompting use of US bunker-buster bombs. That marks a major escalation.
What comes next? Here are three key scenarios that could unfold now that the US enters Israel‑Iran war:
1. Iran Strikes Back, But Carefully
Iran might retaliate—but it will tread carefully. Following the death of General Soleimani in 2020, Iran launched missiles at US targets but avoided US casualties. That limited response closed the chapter at the time.
Now, Iran faces damaged missile stockpiles—reports suggest up to 700 missiles launched and a third of its launchers destroyed. With fewer assets, Iran risks escalating too far. A restrained response seems likely.
2. Iran May Back Down and Negotiate
Another path involves diplomacy. Before US involvement, Iran signaled openness to negotiation—if attacks ceased. It’s possible a ceasefire could form, with talks resuming on Iran’s nuclear program.
But Prime Minister Netanyahu has strongly rejected negotiation before full dismantling of Iran’s capabilities. Iran’s leadership fears losing reputation and regime stability. They know that a peace deal could be seen as a “poisoned chalice”, echoing the Iran-Iraq ceasefire of the 1980s.
3. US Engagement May Remain Limited
US public opinion remains largely against deepening conflict: recent polls showed only 16% support. That disapproval may restrict Trump’s next moves.
If this strike achieves its goal, Trump might be praised. But further involvement could provoke backlash. Meanwhile, Iran may still rebuild its nuclear capacity—depending on how much was destroyed in the strikes.
What It All Means
Now that the US enters Israel‑Iran war, the stakes have risen sharply. Iran’s military capacity is diminished. Diplomatic negotiation remains possible but uncertain. US domestic opinion may curb further escalation. Most importantly, the risk of war spreading across the region continues to grow.
